Grayscale warns of macroeconomic barriers despite Bitcoin's 45% Feb surgeBitcoin’s value saw a notable increase in February, rising by 45% and breaking the $60,000 barrier for the first time since November 2021. This surge positioned the cryptocurrency within 9% of its highest-ever value. Grayscale, a prominent crypto asset management firm, has identified several macroeconomic factors that could potentially limit further growth in cryptocurrency valuations in the short term. Accelerated inflation over the past month, which has diminished the prospects for interest rate reductions by the United States Federal Reserve, was highlighted as a primary concern.
Grayscale points to macro factors
Grayscale analysts emphasize the significant influence of macro factors, such as the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and the overall economic condition, on the valuation of crypto assets. They noted a possible delay in rate cuts by the Fed, possibly extending into late this year or even 2025, should inflation remain high. This situation, they suggest, could bolster the U.S. dollar’s value but negatively impact Bitcoin.
Moreover, the analysts pointed out the rapid increase in U.S. national debt, which is growing by about $1 trillion every 100 days, as a contributing factor to inflation concerns. Despite these challenges, Grayscale remains cautiously optimistic about the near-term future of Bitcoin’s valuation. They predict a continued decline in U.S. consumer price inflation, which could lead to rate cuts by the Fed. Crypto investors are advised to pay close attention to upcoming inflation reports, particularly the CPI report on March 12 and the PPI report on March 14, as well as the Federal Reserve’s policy rate guidance to be updated at its meeting on March 20.
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